BY AGHA IQRAR HAROON
New governments in Kabul and New Delhi will strongly oppose any truce of Pakistan with Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and will blame Pakistan for using terrorists’ against them if anything happens inside India or Afghanistan. Forthcoming new President of Afghanistan, Abdullah, will have zero tolerance for the TTP or Taliban inside Afghanistan. Taliban who are 100% Pushtun had allegedly been involved in manslaughter of soldiers of the Northern Alliance and the massacre of people of Hazara, Tajik, and Uzbek communities, and these are ethnic groups Abdullah represents. The old narrative of Pukhhun Bhai (Pushtun brothers) will not work for Pakistan now, and the TTP will have a low acceptance level within Afghanistan from where it is operating right now. These are observations of political experts who are dealing with regional issues.
Pakistan went for general elections in 2013, while its two neighbors - one at its eastern border and the second on its western border - have also gone for elections this year. Pakistan’s foreign policy for the last 3 decades has been Pushtun Jihad centric at its western border and Jihadi centric at its eastern border.
The formation of Lashkars (Islamic Corp of fighters for Islam), importing and exporting Jihadis from and to all over the world and justifying radicalism has not only ruined the entire social fabric of Pakistan and killed around 55,000 people, it has damaged Kashmir’s cause internationally. It is unfortunate to say that protests rallies in favor of the Pakistan army against Geo Television had been organized mostly by banned organizations. It was done by these banned organizations to get support of the Pakistan army or to malign the Pakistan army - nobody understands for sure, because the Pakistan Army is fighting against terrorism and banned organizations and sacrificing its soldiers with every sunrise in tribal areas of Pakistan.
Modi is a popular leader having popular support, so he will act as a custodian of the people and will demand Pakistan to share investigations and proceedings of the Mumbai attack. One cannot compare Manmohan Singh with Modi. They are two different mind-sets and personalities.
On the western borders, if Abdullah Abduallah comes into power, he will demand Pakistan to stop cross-border terrorism. Abduallah is half Pushtun and half Tajik, because his father was a Pushtun, but his mother was Tajik, and he has been fighting against the Taliban and Pushtuns since he joined politics. He is not Hamid Karzai who had a soft corner for Pushtun Afghan leaders. Abduallah is a very clear-minded person having a long affiliation with one party that the international media and Pakistan has been calling the Northern Alliance, but actually there was no Northern Alliance, but rather an alliance that should be called the “Anti-Pustun Alliance.” Pakistan should remember that its Pushtun-centric foreign policy can be harmful for Pakistan. Abdullah Abduallah will continue to have a trust deficit if Pakistan continues to post Pushtuns at important assignments as well as in the Ministry of Foreign affairs, Ministry of Defense, and Ministry of Interior. Non-Pushtun Afghans blame Pakistan that Pakistan always operates inside Afghanistan in internal affairs of Afghanistan through Pushtun operators who have personal, family, and ethnic relations within Afghanistan and work for the cause of Pakistan.
Abdullah Abduallah will strongly object any truce of Pakistan with Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and will blame Pakistan using TTP inside Afghanistan if the TTP and the government of Pakistan joins handouts of any deal between them. The Pushtun Taliban in the past were allegedly involved in mass slaughtering of the Northern Alliance soldiers, so the Abdullah government will have a zero level of tolerance for the Taliban of both sides.
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