Wednesday, December 20, 2017

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Saudi Arabia is trying to contain the spread of Salafism. It won’t work.

By Geneive Abdo and Abdallah Hendawy

Months before Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman began his anticorruption drive against billionaires, he first silenced, detained and, in some cases, imprisoned, members of the kingdom’s religious elite: Salafi clerics who have vast numbers of adherents throughout the Middle East and North Africa for their media campaigns against Shiite Muslims and their determination to see Syrian President Bashar al-Assad unseated. The prince banned their television programs and censored the Twitter accounts they use to reach millions of followers. One reason for this campaign is that many Salafists oppose his reform agenda, which is both highly nationalistic and socially liberal. Another reason is that as the crown prince exerts more control over how Islam is interpreted, he wants to dial back inflammatory rhetoric, particularly about Syria, that helps to spread extremism.
But the horses have long since left the barn. While the crown prince may be able to change the tone inside the kingdom, the imams’ view of Shiites is now copied by followers throughout the Arab and Muslim worlds who do not see Shiites as real Muslims; it is now far too widespread to undo. From Egypt to Lebanon to Jordan and Tunisia, many orthodox Sunni Muslims believe that Shiites are determined to convert Sunni societies to Shiism. Sectarian discourse, in fact, has become the chief mobilizing factor in the Middle East, thanks in large part to Iranian expansionism in Syria and Iraq. Without Saudi Salafists driving the argument, others around the world will surely step up in their stead.
One silenced Saudi, Mohammad Arefe, who has nearly 21 million followers on Twitter, is revered by Salafists and other types of Islamists throughout the region. In June 2013, he tweeted: “The relationship between Hezbollah [the main Shiite force in Lebanon, funded by Iran] and Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei is to spread Shiism in the [Sunni] Arab world.” Earlier, he said that Shiites murdered Sunnis in Iraq in terrible ways: “They would use the most severe torture methods against them. They would kidnap a child, boil him in water, skin him like a sheep, and then, they would bring him on a platter, wrapped in a cloth, and when his family uncovered the platter, they would see this . . . boy.” Arefe was detained and questioned in September, then freed. Perhaps he is considered too powerful to penalize permanently. But he is no longer speaking online on Shiites, the war in Syria or politics in general. Another famous Salafist whom the Saudi crown prince censored is Adnan al-Arour, who is from Hama, Syria, but who moved to Saudi Arabia about 20 years ago to join the campaign against Assad. He has sharply curtailed his media and digital presence since March 2017, and his Saudi TV program was taken off the air. He has more than 3 million Twitter followers.
In the northern Lebanese city of Tripoli, where one of the authors of this article interviewed Salafist leaders between 2013 and 2016, many looked to Arefe and Arour as mentors; they retweeted the men’s animosity toward the Shiites and said the funding for rebuilding some Salafi mosques in Lebanon came from Saudi sources. Some even went to fight in Syria along the rebels on the basis of the ideas of Arefe and Arour.
Salafism in the region has been growing more popular for decades and appears to have adherents well into the millions. It has multiple branches, varying from jihadi Salafism (its adherents advocate violence) all the way to Taqlidi (scholarly and educational) Salafism. The most common strain is the salafiyya dawwiyya, or evangelizing Salafists, who are divided between those who believe in participating in politics and those believe they should abstain. After the Arab uprisings, the number of “politicos” significantly increased; they want a say in their countries’ futures.
Over time, beginning in the 1980s, Salafism went beyond being just a religious school of thought. In countries such as Egypt, Salafists leveraged a vast network of mosques and nonprofit organizations to provide social services to the public. Social and philanthropic work is what allowed one Salafi political group, the Nour Party, to win approximately one-quarter of the seats in the 2011-2012 Egyptian parliamentary elections.
In Tunisia, Salafists became involved in politics and established two political parties in 2012. In Libya, a Madkhaly Salafist group came to life in 2014 — identified with Saudi Sheikh Rabie al-Madkhali — to provide religious justification for the policies of Gen. Khalifa Hifter, the commander of the Libyan national army whose forces control large parts of the country. Politically, Salafism became a mobilizing force for people to counter authoritarian regimes as well as Iranian revolutionary expansionism. And Iran appears more expansionist than ever. Even if influential Saudi Salafists are silenced for the foreseeable future, the conditions responsible for their power and influence will continue to be relevant.
The most important thing about Salafism may be the durability of its main concerns: The conflict in Syria shows no signs of resolution. Sunni-Shiite tensions in countries such as Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Iraq and Syria are escalating. And the democratization of the Sunni clergy over the past 30 years — anyone who declares himself to be an imam can be considered an authority on the faith and attract his own local or digital following — means that it will be almost impossible for the kingdom to control Salafi clerics beyond its borders.
Inside Saudi Arabia, the crown prince is likely to overcome any serious opposition to his maneuver from the religious establishment. But one thing is certain: Even if the silencing severs the relationships between the Saudi mentors and their clerical proteges in the region, Salafism, particularly political Salafism, will continue. Whether Madkhalya (known as part of the nonviolent Saudi Salafi school), Harakya (active Salafism), or even members of Alexandria’s Salafist Call (a nongovernmental organization that offers social services and religious education), Salafists in countries such as Egypt have strong and extensive relationships with their Saudi counterparts. Money and logistics are part of this relationship, but academic and religious guidance accounts for most of it.
Measuring the ripple effect of the new censorship is not an exact science. Scholarly Salafism does not generally encourage confrontation with Sunni rulers, which explains the relatively mute domestic response to the crackdown. Saudi Salafists may become apolitical as a result of the crackdown. Elsewhere, though, Salafist organizations have bridled. The president of the Turkish Endowment of Dawa and Brotherhood described the Saudi arrests of the Salafists “as a service to the Western project,” a reference to a supposed plot by the West to undermine Islam. The group demanded the immediate release of those detained.
Salafism took decades to develop, and while the Saudi moves may briefly hobble its progress, they cannot stop a transnational ideology that already has its own momentum.



Abbas has "praised the international consensus supporting the Palestinian issue and its just issue and rejecting the American declaration" regarding Jerusalem as Israel's capital.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas met on Wednesday with Saudi King Salman in Riyadh, seeking support for his efforts to galvanize Arab, Islamic and international rejection of US President Donald Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital into sustained backing for the Palestinian cause.

But Israeli analysts say the Saudis, given their close alliance with the United States, are likely to press Abbas to halt his campaign against Trump’s move and instead to show openness to discussing American ideas for peacemaking that are expected to be presented soon.

The official Palestinian news agency Wafa said Abbas discussed with the Saudi monarch “the latest developments and contacts undertaken to protect Jerusalem from the imminent danger to it” as a result of Trump’s declaration. It said that Abbas “praised the international consensus supporting the Palestinian people and its just issue and rejecting the American declaration,” and that he commended “the firm positions of the kingdom of Saudi Arabia toward the Palestinian issue and the rights of our people.”

Salman, the official Saudi Press Agency reported, “reiterated the kingdom’s constant stances toward the Palestinian cause and the legitimate rights of the Palestinian people in establishing an independent state with east Jerusalem as its capital.”

Wafa quoted the king as saying the same thing in nearly identical wording.

The meeting, also attended by Saudi Foreign Minister Adel Jubeir, PA Minister for Civil Affairs Hussein Sheikh and other officials comes after the two sides differed in their response to Trump’s December 6 Jerusalem declaration. In its immediate aftermath, the Saudi royal court condemned it as “unjustified” and “irresponsible.” But then the response became muted and there was no mention of Trump’s declaration at all in the Saudi account of the Wednesday meeting, leaving the distinct impression that the Saudis want the agenda to move on and the US to continue working up a peace plan now in its advanced stages.

Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, who met a delegation from the Washington Institute for Near East Policy after Trump’s declaration, voiced just one word of disappointment with it and then spoke of how Riyadh and Washington could work together to limit the fallout and restore hope to peace efforts, according to Robert Satloff, the institute’s director.

Abbas, for his part, has said repeatedly that the US has disqualified itself from being a mediator and has become a party to the conflict, and even depicted it as being a long-standing enemy of the Palestinians by bitterly accusing Washington of being a “partner” to Britain’s 1917 Balfour Declaration.

The Palestinians are boycotting US envoy Jason Greenblatt’s visit to the region and plan to do the same to Vice President Mike Pence when he comes in January.

In the view of Gabriel Ben-Dor, a Middle East scholar at the University of Haifa, “the Saudis want Abbas to lower the flames and stop inflaming everyone against the US and the recent pronouncement on Jerusalem.”

“The Saudis want peace and quiet, they want the US to play a prominent role in the Middle East, they want to weaken the radicals in the region, and the last thing they are interested in is the kind of rabble-rousing Abbas has been engaged in. He’ll be under pressure from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, that’s very clear,” Ben- Dor said.

Jerusalem and Islamic solidarity are important for Riyadh, but its overarching priority is countering Iran, Ben-Dor continued.

“The Saudis have made a major decision to take on the Iranians in the fight for mastery of the Middle East, and they want to be allied with the US in this huge effort, and everything else is subservient to this goal which is the primary force driving Saudi foreign policy today.”

Through this prism, Israel is seen by Riyadh as a “surreptitious strategic partner in the struggle with Iran. They would like to quiet down the entire Israeli-Palestinian issue to mobilize Arab support for standing up to Iran,” Ben-Dor said.

When the American peace plan is unveiled, the Saudis “will try to push the Palestinians to be more accommodating and compromising than they have been so far,” Ben-Dor predicted.

The New York Times
, in a December 3 report, cited Palestinian, Arab and European officials as saying that during a visit by Abbas to Riyadh in November, the crown prince presented him with a plan for a noncontiguous state with limited sovereignty and without a capital in east Jerusalem. The White House denied that this was its plan while the Saudis responded by saying they remain committed to the 2002 Arab League initiative calling for a state along the pre- 1967 lines with east Jerusalem as its capital.

Abbas spokesman Nabil Abu Rudaineh also denied the report.

Abbas’s trip to Riyadh is a gain for the Saudis, according to Joshua Teitelbaum, a Saudi specialist at the BESA Center for Strategic Studies at Bar-Ilan University in Ramat Gan.

“It helps out the Saudis, who look to a lot of people in the Arab world as if they are selling out the Palestinians. By Abbas going there, it looks as if they are coordinating. He’s hoping they will intervene with the Americans to make sure the US peace plan is not so objectionable.

“The Saudis are probably telling him he should put the Jerusalem issue behind him and play ball with what the Americans are cooking up now. That there’s no other game in town. That it’s us and the Americans, who are the only ones who can move the Israelis,” Teitelbaum said.

As a country beset by myriad challenges, including a seemingly unwinnable war in Yemen, domestic reform, low oil prices, Muhammad bin Salman’s bid to consolidate power, and of course expanding Iranian influence, the Saudis are dependent on Washington.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s American pressure on the Saudis,” Teitelbaum said.

“The Americans could say, ‘You want help in Yemen, in other areas, you want more arms, you need help to get out of Yemen, then give us a hand with this Palestinian issue.”

Is Saudi Arabia being lined up by the US to broker talks between Israel and Palestine for a two-state solution?

By Anthony Harwood
Recent events are all feeding into conspiracy stories which say that the Saudis have been in on the Jerusalem plan from day one.
The writing was on the wall when Donald Trump became the first US president to visit the Middle East on his maiden voyage overseas.
Many saw his decision to sign arms agreements worth £82bn with Saudi Arabia as a tell-tale sign of what the man who wrote The Art of Deal was up to.
One place it most certainly did not go unnoticed was on Arab Street, which always views with suspicion one of its own cosying up to Washington.
So when Trump provoked worldwide anger by recognising Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, people began to put two and two together.
As Abraham Lincoln famously said: “You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time”.
As if to demonstrate this, a huge flag was unfurled at a pro-Palestinian protest this week showing a face which was half-Trump and half-Salman, the Saudi king.

Underneath the caption read: “Two faces of same coin.”
When they saw the banner at a football match in Algeria, the Saudis were predictably furious. Sami bin Abdullah al-Saleh, the Saudi Ambassador to Algeria, talked about his country’s “annoyance” with the image, saying: “We will look into the authenticity of this image and take the appropriate response.”
Stand by for Saudi claims the banner is pro-Qatar propaganda. But before they do, maybe they should first read what Arab people are saying on Twitter about it.
@aymanarab78 said: “Hey King of Saudi, the people who lifted the banner do not only represent themselves, but most of the Algerian people. Yes, you and Trump are indeed two faces of the same coin in regards to Jerusalem and other Muslim countries.”

@michamimicha5 said: “Didn’t the Mecca Imam say that the US President and Saudi King are working together to solve world peace? That means they are two faces of the same coin. World peace meaning the elimination of Hamas, meaning Gaza, meaning Jerusalem, meaning Palestine.”

@GoFriita simply said: “Who grants the US money each year? Is it us or you? You are the sickness of Muslims and the reason Palestine is the way it is.”

Since 6 December when Trump announced the US Embassy would be moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, the Saudis have done little to allay these suspicions of the Arab people.
As if just paying lip service, Riyadh called the Trump decision “unjustified and irresponsible”, but did very little to follow it up.
When Turkey announced a summit of Islamic countries to pass resolutions against the announcement, most Muslim countries sent their leaders to represent them.

The Organisation of the Islamic Conference (OIC) declared East Jerusalem the capital of a future Palestinian state, and an integral part of the Palestinian territories occupied by Israel in 1967.
Far from sending their leaders, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates did not even send their foreign ministers, preferring a summit in Paris on fighting terrorism in West Africa.
Not only that, but as soon as the summit was over they began attacking Turkey and Iran in the strongest terms. Turkey and Iran, not America.
It led to Badr al-Din Habib Oglu, Secretary-General of the Turkish-Arab Institute for Strategic Studies, to say this proved that the Saudis and Emiratis were involved in the US-Israel plan “which revolves around abandoning the Palestinian cause and selling Jerusalem in exchange for strengthening Mohammed bin Salman’s (MbS) rule and the imposition of a new vision in the region”.
But it’s not just the unwillingness of Saudi Arabia and the UAE to stand shoulder to shoulder with the 57 other states of the OIC, on an issue that unites the whole Arab world and beyond.
It’s what else has been going on, too; the pictures of Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, visiting the Saudi Crown Prince, Mohammed bin Salman, with tales of how they burned the midnight oil together.
This week Fox News reported that the CIA chief, Mike Pompeo, had been in Saudi for talks with King Salman on “regional developments”.
The same Mike Pompeo who’s been tipped to take over from Trump’s beleaguered Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson.
Three days before that, an Israeli intelligence minister was inviting MbS for talks, even though the two countries have no formal diplomatic relations.
And a Saudi academic has appeared on the US-based Arabic channel, al-Hurra, to call on Arabs to accept that Israel had a special claim to Jerusalem.
“We have to admit and realise that Jerusalem is a religious symbol for the Jews and that it is just as holy for them as Mecca and Medina are for Muslims,” said Abdulhamid Hakeem.
This is all feeding into conspiracy stories which say that the Saudis have been in on the Jerusalem plan from day one, with MbS emerging as the most likely US-appointed candidate to broker a deal between the Israelis and Palestinians.
Earlier this month, Trump said that in every deal there are winners and losers. Can he really be about to apply his book to the Middle East?
If so, I wonder who will be the losers out of any two-state solution he comes up with.