Saturday, October 19, 2019
Is there another coup in the making in Pakistan?
By Manzoor Ahmed
Pakistan’s Army Chief Qamar Javed Bajwa, who in August 2019, got a three-year extension in service, has yet once again hit the headlines; this time for having had a talk session with the business tycoons of Pakistan over dinner. The Pak CoAS was giving a pep talk to the heads of leading business houses who in turn apparently conveyed their serious concerns about the state of Pakistan’s economy and the government’s inability to correct the deteriorating situation. Their main grievance was that the government under PM Imran Khan had not gone beyond verbal assurances and that its words did not match its actions.
Pakistan’s Army Chief Qamar Javed Bajwa, who in August 2019, got a three-year extension in service, has yet once again hit the headlines; this time for having had a talk session with the business tycoons of Pakistan over dinner. The Pak CoAS was giving a pep talk to the heads of leading business houses who in turn apparently conveyed their serious concerns about the state of Pakistan’s economy and the government’s inability to correct the deteriorating situation. Their main grievance was that the government under PM Imran Khan had not gone beyond verbal assurances and that its words did not match its actions.
An ISPR release (03 October) informs us that “Sequel to discussions and seminars on ‘Interplay of economy and security’, a concluding session of stakeholders hosted by COAS was held at Army Auditorium. Govt economic team and businessmen of the country participated.” The ISPR also said that the seminars and discussions in question were held "in order to bring stakeholders on one platform to formulate recommendations for a synergistic way forward". So this was just one step in the larger game plan to somehow get the Pak economy back on track, but with the Pak Army Chief leading from the front and not the democratically elected Prime Minister of Pakistan.
During the meeting, top industry leaders complained of high-handedness by the Chairman of National Accountability Bureau (NAB), who was later reprimanded by the Army for its lack of capacity and overweening ambition to be the arbiter in all matters. This case, in itself, shows the Pak Army’s involvement in internal economic policies rather than political capacity to deal in such a scenario.
Given the gravity of the economic situation that Pakistan faces, one would have expected the government and Army to come up with some innovative solutions. Instead, the Army Chief reportedly “floated an idea that an internal committee is formed comprising military officers to work on the delegates’ complaints so that they could be resolved as soon as possible”. Several things are apparent from such a thought. The dismal state of Pak political and administrative efforts can be seen from the fact that the CoAS is a member of the National Development Council constituted by the Prime Minister this June and also a member of the National Security Committee and the National Command Authority.
Pak CoAS stated during the meeting that “National security is intimately linked to eco while prosperity is a function of balance in security needs & economic growth. (The) aim of various discussions and seminars was to bring stakeholders at one platform to formulate recommendations for a synergistic way forward”.
The Pakistani media has highlighted the fact that the delegation showed their “anger and frustration” at the government’s attitude towards the economy. More importantly, they disclosed that their business units were getting closed one by one leaving countless laborers unemployed. The business tycoons stated that if nothing was done on an “emergency basis” the situation would deteriorate further multiplying the problems. The meeting comes at a point when Pakistan’s GDP growth is touching its lowest ebb while inflation is persistently rising and resulting in halting of economic activities. Furthermore, the government’s collective debts (domestic plus external) rose by a cumulative Rs. 454 billion to Rs. 32.24 billion.
Amongst those who were present in the meeting with CoAS Gen. Bajwa included the former president of FPCCI Zubair Tufail, Arif Habib, Mian Mansha, Hussain Dawood, Ali Mohammad Tabba, Ali Jameel, Javed Chinoy, Zubair Motiwala, Ijaz Gohar, Aqeel Karim Dhabi, Zubair Tufail, Siraj Qasim Teli, Saqib Shirazi and some other textile tycoons. While the who’s who of Pakistani business attended the session, there does not appear to be any solution in sight to Pakistan’s economic woes. Thus, not only has PM Imran Khan alienated a section of the business community, it appears that he has also with his words while in the US recently, angered the military community.
Reports have been doing the rounds that ever since PM Khan returned from the US after addressing the UNGA, that the Army Chief was unhappy with the manner in which the Pak PM made statements and remarks which were not part of the official Army brief. This has led to speculation that Imran Khan could be replaced shortly. This speculation was further heightened by unverified twitter comments that the leave of all personnel of the Pak Army 111 Independent Infantry Division had been canceled and that all personnel had been asked to report for duty by 04 October.
The 111 Independent Infantry Brigade, though officially operates under X Corps in Rawalpindi, actually functions under the Pak CoAS and is tasked with the security of the Prime Minister and the Islamabad region. Point of note is that Lt. Gen. Athar Abbas, current Commander of X Corps is also from the Baloch Regiment, the same Regiment of the Army Chief. Anas Malik writing in “In Political Survival in Pakistan: Beyond Ideology”, states that "Brigade 111 is notorious because it is well-positioned to detain civilian leaders and take over the federal government's administrative centers as a coup unfolds." So there is another drama being enacted, that of a possible coup to dismiss Imran Khan, with perhaps Gen. Bajwa becoming President! The obvious question is would the CoAS want to become another Musharraf and become history? Highly unlikely. More likely that Imran Khan will be replaced by Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi. What will actually happen only time will tell.
The current situation in Pakistan is best summed up by Hussain Haqqani, currently at the Hudson Institute in the US. He writes: “Pakistan’s generals look at their country as a wholly-owned subsidiary of General Headquarters and consider themselves its board of directors. The role of a prime minister in this scheme of things is not to provide political leadership but rather act as a manager implementing the wishes of the board of directors”. This is precisely what Prime Minister Imran Khan is required to do, if this does not happen, he may be shown the exit door sooner than later.
http://www.pakistanchristianpost.com/opinion-details/3460
#Pakistan - #PPP - Bilawal Bhutto to launch anti-government protests
Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) Chairman Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari has announced nationwide anti-government protests to “restore ‘real’ democracy in the country”.
“Our demand is to restore democracy (in the country),” media quoted the PPP chief as saying at a public rally on Friday night. “We don’t accept this artificial democracy. The democratic and socio-economic rights of the masses shall be restored and for that (Prime Minister) Imran Khan has to resign.”
He said that the incumbent government had lost its credibility in the masses as it did not fulfil any of its promises, adding that all opposition parties in Pakistan have decided Khan must step down.
“Our anti-government movement has started from Karachi,” he said, as he announced his plan for further protests across the country.
He said the PPP will protest in Thar on 23 October, demonstrate in Kashmore on 26 October whereas rallies in Punjab will begin from 1 November.
“We will tour the entire country and when we return from Kashmir, you (Khan) will have to go. We will expose your incompetence in every nook and corner of the country. “Imran Khan neither has the capability nor seriousness to govern a country of 200 million people.
“Parliament has been side-lined and politicians have taken to the streets,” he added. IANS
Pakistan denies entry to CPJ's Steven Butler, forces him to return to US
Last night, Pakistani immigration authorities denied entry to CPJ Asia Program Coordinator Steven Butler, citing a blacklist managed by the Ministry of Interior.
A border officer at Allama Iqbal International Airport, in Lahore, told Butler that his journalist visa was valid, but it was voided because his name was “on a stop list of the Interior Ministry,” Butler said.
Airport authorities in Lahore confiscated Butler’s passport and forced him onto a flight to Doha, Qatar. When he arrived in Doha, authorities there placed him on a flight to Washington, D.C. Butler, who communicated with CPJ while on the flight, said he was in “a kind of restricted custody” and said that the flight crew was in possession of his passport and boarding pass.
"Pakistani authorities’ move to block Steven Butler from entering the country is baffling and is a slap in the face to those concerned about press freedom in the country,” said Joel Simon, CPJ’s executive director. "Pakistani authorities should give a full explanation of their decision to bar Butler from entering and correct this error. If the government is interested in demonstrating its commitment to a free press, it should conduct a swift and transparent investigation into this case.”
Butler was traveling to the country to participate in the Asma Jahangir Conference-Roadmap for Human Rights in Pakistan.
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