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Pakistan Headed The Sri Lanka Way Of Economic And Political Meltdown – Analysis

By Dr. Subhash Kapila
Sri Lanka’s complete economic and political meltdown attributable to Sri Lanka’s bartering its fiscal and autonomy to China’s ‘Debt Traps’ under the seemingly redoubtable President-Prime Minister Duo Rajapaksha Brothers, should be an eye-opener for Pakistan as with Pakistani economic meltdown underway what awaits Pakistan is a political meltdown.

Noticeably, Pakistan too like Sri Lanka’s leadership has courted and flirted with China economically and strategically. This became more marked in since 2018 when Pakistani masses mesmerised by Imran Khan selling dreams of a ‘Naya (New) Pakistan’ emerged as Pakistan’s Prime Minister.

It is doubtful that a return to power of Imran Khan as Prime Minister could forestall Pakistan’s economic and political meltdown. On the contrary Imran Khan’s credentials and demonstrated performance indicate otherwise.

Pakistan’s economic spiral downslide resulted in a big way from then PM Imran Khan with boundless political arrogance fostered by his China-tilt connect with Beijing made him brash to jettison United States and Saudi Arabia as Pakistan’s main donors underwriting Pakistan’s financial solvency.

Pakistan’s comparative situation with Sri Lankan terms of economic and political meltdown has not gone unnoticed within Pakistan and some media Columnists have reflected these concerns.

Further, reflected by this Columnist the disturbing similarities with Sri Lanka as import dependence on essential commodities, limited foreign exchange and piled up external debt.

Pakistan’s economic and political meltdown is a legacy issue of over three years of rule of former Prime Minister Imran Khan. Pakistan was mercifully saved by the Constitutional Coup underwritten by Pakistan Army bringing PM Shahbaz Sharif to replace him. 

However, Pakistan seems to be in a self-destruct mode going by the recent by-poll election results in Pakistan’s majority province of Punjab. Former PM Imran Khan’s PTI party swept the polls leading to widespread speculation in Pakistan media that this could possibly herald the political resurrection of Imran Khan and his possible return as Pakistan’s Prime Minister. 

However, Imran Khan’s big win in Punjab was from seats in which earlier PTI legislators had stood disqualified. The PTI therefore can be said to have retained its earlier poetically strong con constituencies. PTI has nothing to show that it has enlarged its political base.

In South Asian politics, by-poll results are not an accurate barometer of political mood swings and more so in Pakistan where there are too many imponderables at play, bot external and internal.

Pakistan’s foreign policy under Imran Khan as Prime Minister was horribly messed-up both by Imran Khan’s own predilections for China and those of his impulsive and brash Foreign Minister Qureshi. Both of them, more than earlier regimes swung Pakistan firmly into China’s orbit and flirting with notions of Pakistan-Turkey-Malaysia Islamic Bloc to offset the more conservative hold of the Arab Monarchs Bloc on the Islamic World.

In both cases, Pakistan was geopolitically positioning itself with countries which patently were in adversarial mode with United States which controlled global financial institutions.

The economic spinoff of the above impulsive moves was that Pakistan so- positioning led to an economic squeeze of financial sustenance of Pakistan by major donors like United States and Saudi Arabia which were the very sources of financial largesse which had sustained Pakistan financially. 

Pakistan under Imran Khan Regime was not trusted by the United States and Saudi Arabia changed course only after PM Imran Khan went with a begging bowl to Jeddah and forsook moves to form Pakistan-Turkey-Malaysia Bloc as rival to Saudi-led Arab Monarchies Bloc.

The United States also made initial political outreach moves to Pakistan with exit of PM Imran Khan. The Pakistan Army Chief despite the Army’s predominant Chines military inventories publicly articulated that Pakistan sought good relations with the United States, signalling that it had not approved Imran Khan’s marked China-tilt.

Pakistan’s internal political dynamics, if going by recent by-poll results suggesting Pakistan’s political mood for return of Imran Khan as Prime Minister could then put United States political outreaches to Pakistan in jeopardy, and which in its wake ensures lending by global financial institutions slip into reverse gears.

Pakistan’s economy would take at least a decade to recover under present political conditions continuing to prevail. However, should political mood-swings veer towards Former PTI PM Imran Khan then Pakistan’s economic meltdown would get accelerated?

Former PM Imran Khan with all his political demagoguery is less likely to continue in power, even if he returns, as political meltdown is a natural corollary of Pakistan’s economic meltdown.

China has already exhibited that it can bail out Pakistan financially only up to a point where any Pakistani regime can ensure the security of Chinese economic and strategic interests in Pakistan. But how can a future Imran Khan Regime forestall Pakistan’s economic meltdown if China does not go in for massive re-scheduling of Chinese loans to Pakistan. Can China do it with its own declining economic growth?

While dwelling on the subject, the attitudes of Pakistan Army cannot be side-lined. The Pakistani Army is a strong determinator of Pakistan’s foreign policies and Pakistan’s political dynamics. Too much significance is being attached today to speculation that Pakistan Army is a ‘Divided House’ with some of the Generals supporting Imran Khan.

In the overall analysis, it can be safely asserted that when it would come to an eventual showdown on Pakistan Army losing its grip on Pakistan’s governance, then Pakistan Army hierarchy would close its ranks to safeguard its corporate interests.  Can it be forgotten by Pakistan Army hierarchy that Imran Khan as Prime Minister was dividing the Pakistan Army’s Collegium of Generals while in power?

Concluding, it can be asserted that if Pakistan is to avoid going the Sri Lanka path of economic and political meltdown, then Pakistan’s political dynamics seeking return of former PM Imran Khan to power would only hasten the meltdown of Pakistan.

https://www.eurasiareview.com/24072022-pakistan-headed-the-sri-lanka-way-of-economic-and-political-meltdown-analysis/

One such informed Columnist, Mohsin Saleem Ullah on July 21 in Express Tribune has assessed and compared the economic situation in Pakistan as akin to Sri Lankan major crisis. It is brought out that Pakistan today is similarly plagued with severe external debt, high inflation, surge in unemployment and scarcity of food grains and medicines 

Water management for Balochistan

Dawood Khan
It is time policies are made and implemented swiftly to respond to the water needs of the province.

B

alochistan’s water crisis has reached a level where rain is needed everywhere, all the time. Sadly, the annual rainfall is meager. On the other hand, there is little preparedness for it. Every time it rains, flooding damage affects lives and livelihoods, particularly in the agriculture. All this was on display last week when it rained in most parts of Balochistan.

In Pishin district, the rain storm caused a number of families to migrate to higher points under an open sky. Water entered the living quarters in many areas. People in the Malakyar village had to flee their homes during the night. Many families migrated to urban regions and started living with their relatives in the host cities.

A few weeks ago, videos of some female students at Loralai Medical College went viral on social media. They were carrying pots of water. They travelled great distances from their hostels and fetched water for themselves. The students have been deprived of safe drinking water. For a long time, the people of Gwadar have not had sufficient water. On several occasions they have been forced to hold street protests.

Quetta, the capital of Balochistan, is over-populated. Families that hail from quite far-flung regions (both Pashtuns and Baloch) also reside in the capital. It is mostly because unlike their ancestral villages their children have access to basic healthcare and schools. The large population needs water. However, the water supply is not sufficient. Water tankers charge around Rs 10,000 per fill. Over the years, an entire water economy has evolved in the city.

In Killa Saifullah, the agriculture has been affected the most by heavy rains. Many shepherds lost their livestock on the eve of Eid-ul-Azha. Some said they had to watch helpless their animals drowned. The already marginalised segment of the society was badly hit economically. Similar stories poured in from other parts of the province. It cannot be claimed, however, that all parts of the province received adequate media coverage.

Potable water scarcity is a serious issue. It causes poverty, illiteracy, stunted growth and security issues. The population of Balochistan is less than the city of Lahore but it is scattered over 48 percent of the land area of the country. 

Many people in Balochistan do not have clean water to drink. The water table has gone down nearly a thousand feet in recent years. Installation of solar-powered tubewells, promoted by some politicians, brings only temporary relief.

When it rains, the worries of many citizens are multiplied. Rural regions are affected the most because of the poor design and construction of buildings.

Potable water scarcity is a very serious issue. It causes poverty, illiteracy, stunted growth and security issues. The population of Balochistan, less than that of the city of Lahore, is scattered over 48 percent of land area of the country.

Government policies to solve these issues have not proved compatible with the ground realities. Balochistan does not have enough dams and reservoirs to store rain water. Most of the rainwater is wasted. It flows out quickly and joins the sea, becoming unfit for drinking and other uses.

There is an opportunity for the federal and provincial governments to bring the issue to the table with the Chinese under the CPEC umbrella. The issue must be given priority. The authorities should declare a water emergency. Use of clean water for washing cars etc should be banned.

Balochistan is blessed with minerals and natural resources. It should resolve its water issue by requiring mining companies to provide water for the host communities.

The provincial government should also develop a water trade system with other provinces. In return for the water received Balochistan can provide grapes, apples, melons and watermelons to the rest of the country.

Balochistan is adjacent to Afghanistan which has sufficient water. The government should analyse this option wisely and enter a suitable arrangement with the Afghan government.

The karez system in Balochistan has become extinct. Restoring this system is not viable. A better alternative is small dams to store rainwater.

In the near future, construction and operation of such dams will likely be the best indicator of the health of the economy. It will also be a good yardstick for the sincerity of politicians.

https://www.thenews.com.pk/tns/detail/976186-water-management-for-balochistan 

Pakistan: 100 killed, 57 injured in rain-related incidents in Balochistan province

Heavy downpours have killed 100 people in Pakistan, leaving 57 injured and displacing many across southwest Balochistan province.
The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) said that women, children and men were among 100 people killed in recent heavy rainfall in the province, ARY News reported.
“Overall 6,063 houses were demolished while 550-kilometre road track along four major highways in the province also got damaged during the rainfall,” PDMA said. The disaster management authority mentioned that over 712 animals have been killed during the heavy downpour. Section 144 was imposed by the government for a period of one month after the forecasts predicted more downpours in the province.
Section 144 prevents people from going to picnics at rivers, dams and other water bodies. Under the section, there is a ban on swimming in rivers and water streams.
NDMA has provided relief goods to the province, local media reported. The relief goods include family tents and de-watering pumps to assist the disaster management authority. The PDMA situation report said that more than 2,500 houses have been completely damaged, whereas 1,417 houses have been partly damaged in the recent rains.
Rescue and relief activities are in full swing in the province, according to the PDMA, adding that camps, ration bags, blankets, and other everyday life necessary stuff have been dispatched to the flood-hit areas.
Earlier, the Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasted more heavy rains in various districts of the province from Friday to Tuesday, advising all concerned authorities to remain alert and take necessary precautionary measures during the forecast period. Due to heavy rainfalls across Pakistan, several incidents of people getting electrocuted have come to light.
Rainwater has accumulated on the main roads and streets and has caused a disruption in the flow of traffic, and the accumulated water has caused several vehicles and motorcycles to break down on the streets. The downpour across the has caused several houses and villages to be submerged, standing crops and infrastructure was damaged and many remote areas were cut off from the rest of the population due to destroyed roads.
https://theprint.in/world/pak-100-killed-57-injured-in-rain-related-incidents-in-balochistan-province/1053195/

Christians in Pakistan are victims of rape, forced marriages, and violent mobs using blasphemy laws against them

A witness to the plight of Christians and other religious minorities talks to Aleteia, as the European Union considers suspending Pakistan's preferential trading status.Each year, human rights observers report that as many as 1,000 mostly Christian and Hindu girls and young women in Pakistan are raped and subjected to forced conversions and marriages to Muslim men.
These crimes have helped earn Pakistan its ignominious designation as a “Country of Particular Concern” on the U.S. Department of State’s Religious Freedom Report. Representing only 2% of the population of Pakistan, Christians are often victims of the country’s harsh blasphemy laws and mob violence.That number however, represents only about half of the actual number of victims, says Shaheed Mobeen, a Pakistani professor of philosophy at the Pontifical Urban University in Rome and an advocate for religious freedom in Pakistan. Mobeen is a witness testifying at the International Religious Freedom Summit, held in Washington, DC, this week. A guest of the Catholic charity Aid to the Church in Need, he is here to talk about the persecution of religious minorities in Muslim-majority Pakistan.
Aid to the Church in Need, in its support of persecuted Christians around the world, helps fund the legal defense of Christians accused of blasphemy, and aids in the rescue of Christian girls abducted and forcibly converted.
“The government of Pakistan doesn’t accept [the number of victims as] 1,000 a year, but in the last two years, what I have seen, and what volunteers, nuns and lawyers have found, is that there are about 2,000 forced conversions and marriages a year,” Mobeen told Aleteia. In addition to Christians, Hindu, Sikh, and Shia Muslim families are being victimized and forced into marriages with Muslim men.
Abducted by Muslim “uncles”
The perpetrators of these crimes against girls and young women, he said, are usually family friends.“What happens is a Muslim man who appears to be a friend of the Christian family visits the family, they eat together, and they drink together. This man starts bringing some gifts for the children of the house. The parents think that he is just like part of the family, whereas he is already planning his own future 3rd, 4th, or 5th wife,” Mobeen explained.
“And he chooses the most beautiful minor girl between the ages of 10 and 14. Fascinated by the candies, all the nice dresses, all the make-up things, these almost-teenagers think at the beginning that its an uncle who is giving so many gifts.
“Then he sexually violates the girl, converts her to Islam, and marries the same girl. After two days when the parents are looking for her everywhere, they receive a letter: ‘Your daughter has accepted Islam, congratulations, she will be saved,’” Mobeen said. While the minimum legal age for marriage in Pakistan ranges from 14 to 18 depending on the province, that restriction is ignored by the men who abduct these girls, and sometimes by the courts tasked with upholding the law. In Sindh Province, for example, in the southeastern region of Pakistan, girls must be 18 to marry without the permission of their parents. When the parents of 14-year-old Huma Younus, a Catholic girl, went to court after their daughter was abducted, forcibly converted to Islam, and married off to a Muslim man, they discovered that the judicial system was not based on the laws on the books. In his ruling, the judge declared that, despite the evidence that a 14-year-old girl had been illegally married without her parents’ permission, no crime had been committed. He said that the marriage was legal.
His reasoning: in accordance with Sharia law, since their daughter had already had her first menstrual period, she was of marriageable age.
The decision set off a firestorm of protests on social media, and was the subject of remarks on up on the floor of the UK Parliament, Mobeen said.He told Aleteia that despite the many witnesses present, the court later denied that the judge ruled as he did. “It became an issue, and three days later the same court issued a press release saying ‘all that is being said in social media is not true.’ But we are witnesses to confirm that that was said,” Mobeen said.
Blasphemy laws and the threat of international sanctions
According to reports from human rights observers, Christians, Hindus and other religious minorities continue to be victimized by mobs of Muslims who attack them because of alleged acts of blasphemy.
Under the Pakistani penal code, accusations of blasphemy can subject one to life imprisonment and the death penalty, although nobody has ever been executed, at least through the judicial system. For non-Muslims accused of blasphemy, according to Aid to the Church in Need’s Religious Freedom Report, “accusations often result in lynching, mob attacks on entire neighborhoods, and extrajudicial killings.” Those who survive are brought to jail, where they remain, having been denied bail because they are believed to be safer in jail. In some cases, those who are incarcerated die under suspicious circumstances, Mobeed said.
The world turned its eyes to Pakistan when human rights activists, including Aid to the Church in Need, brought attention to the case of Asia Bibi, the Pakistani woman sentenced to death after being convicted of blasphemy charges. Her 2018 acquittal due to “insufficient evidence” was followed by a decrease in charges of blasphemy. The Center for Social Justice (CSJ) reported authorities charged and imprisoned 84 individuals in 2021 for blasphemy, a decrease from the 199 brought in on blasphemy charges in 2020.“After the release of Asia Bibi, Pakistan realized the world is looking at us and there are going to be economic sanctions on us if we don’t respect and give space for religious freedom and human rights,” Mobeen said.
In the United States, while Pakistan remains on the list of “countries of particular concern,” the U.S. State Department has issued a waiver so sanctions won’t be brought against Pakistan, due to “the national interests of the United States.”
Meanwhile, Pakistan is now in danger of losing its GSP+ status with the European Union because of its persecution of religious minorities. The country benefits from a preferential status that allows it to enjoy zero duties on 66% of its exports. In April several Members of the European Parliament called for a debate on human rights abuses in Pakistan, with a focus on discrimination against religious minorities. In its resolution the group demanded that Pakistan protect religious freedom or risk losing aid from the European countries. “Pakistan is trying to do its best to show to the international community that there is religious freedom in Pakistan, that they are respecting human rights in Pakistan, but in the case of religious minorities, religious freedom is not even discussed. We have a department of religious affairs called Interfaith Harmony and they are not doing anything in that direction and they don’t even know what interfaith dialogue means,” he said.
And despite a decrease in the number of people jailed for blasphemy, Mobeen said that there are “many Asia Bibis in Pakistan in prison.”
“They need to be saved, the many boys and girls, school teachers who are in jail, accused of blasphemy, while there is no proof of having committed blasphemy. They are going to stay for years and years in jail,” he said.
Criminals hiding behind Sharia law
According to Mobeen, the rapes, forced conversions and marriages, and mob violence have little to do with religion.
“Religion does not have anything to do with that kind of lustful attitude of these men,” accused of abducting young girls and forcing them to marry them, he said.
“Those vicious and lustful men use religious law to protect themselves and safeguard themselves, just like with the blasphemy laws.” Mobeen believes that charges of blasphemy are often made by Muslims who are jealous of how Christians and Hindus are faring economically. “Islam does not invite you to rape a girl, Islam does not teach you to accuse someone falsely of blasphemy, but with this situation, it is legally possible for a Muslim criminal to hide himself behind these Islamic laws,” he explained.
Hope rests on international pressure
“Christians are finding it difficult to survive in everyday life,” Mobeen stressed.
His hope is that the United States and other nations will press for Pakistan to provide protection for religious minorities.
“If they say they are protecting religious minorities, it is not true. If it appears they are doing something, it’s not enough, we need to be protected better,” Mobeen said.In addition, he believes the Pakistani government should be encouraged to provide economic assistance to minority small businessmen and educational scholarships to religious minorities.Because many Christian parents refuse to let their daughters attend state schools for fear they will be abducted, the literacy rate for girls is only about 9%, Mobbed estimates. Home-schooling is not an option as many of the parents are themselves illiterate. And Christian schools are unaffordable for many. University scholarships, he says, are denied non-Muslims, blocking off the main path to economic well-being.
But no amount of economic or educational assistance will help without the physical protection of religious minorities, Mobbed said.
“We are citizens of Pakistan. We aren’t aliens. We need protections as any other citizens of Pakistan do,” he said.
https://aleteia.org/2022/07/01/christians-in-pakistan-are-victims-of-rape-forced-marriages-and-violent-mobs-using-blasphemy-laws-against-them/

Saturday, July 23, 2022

Is Pakistan the Next Sri Lanka?

By Muhammad Akbar Notezai

Pakistan’s own economic crisis has sparked worrying comparisons to the disaster unfolding in nearby Sri Lanka.
Hambantota in southern Sri Lanka housed ousted President Gotabaya Rajapaksa following the recent crisis, until he was forced to flee the country entirely. That continues a trend of the city, and especially its strategic deep-sea port, being in the news for all the wrong reasons. In 2017, when Sri Lanka found itself struggling to make debt repayments on time, it sold a 99-year lease of the port to the Chinese company that had constructed it for some quick cash. Many analysts and writers penned articles pointing to Hambantota as Exhibit A in the theory that China deliberately plunges developing countries into a “dept trap” by offering loans to finance extravagant infrastructure projects. Similarly, many analysts and writers who warned the same fate might befall Pakistan, where Chinese authorities have been heavily involved in investment projects, particularly under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) since 2015. Like Sri Lanka’s Hambantota, the Chinese have been heavily investing in Gwadar, the deep-sea port in Pakistan’s southwestern Balochistan province that serves as the epicenter of CPEC in Pakistan. Hence, the news about Hambantota port rang alarm bells in the corridors of power in Pakistan. Some feared that if Chinese influence further increased in Gwadar, it might follow the example of the Sri Lankan port, for all the wrong reasons.
Today, the current political and economic situation has worsened tremendously in Sri Lanka, culminating in the country defaulting on its debt payments. Amid shortages of basic necessities, Sri Lankans have erupted in mass protests. And the crisis is unlikely to be resolved soon, even though the protesters have forced Rajapaksa to quit. He was replaced by Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, who is also unpopular with the masses and seen as a symbol of the political status quo.
Once again, Pakistan (among other developing countries) has come under discussion in light of the worsening situation in Sri Lanka, with questions as to whether the country may fall down the same dark path.
Undoubtedly, Pakistan, too, has a shambling economy, now going from bad to worse in the wake of political uncertainty. There is gross unemployment, while the inflation rate has skyrocketed. Among other things, The News, an English national daily in Pakistan, reported recently that the value of the Pakistani rupee versus the U.S. dollar has worsened more than 4,100 percent, from just 4.76 rupees per U.S. dollar 50 years ago, in May 1972, to a whopping 200 rupees per dollar on May 18, 2022. The depreciation of the Pakistani rupee against the U.S. dollar continues its downward slide, and it stands at 225 per dollar at the time of writing, further compounding the country’s economic miseries amid dwindling foreign exchange reserves.
Like Sri Lanka, Pakistan has welcomed Chinese investments to support its ailing economy. This is why some analysts argue that heavy Chinese investments in Pakistan pushed the country to the brink of economic collapse. But that narrative is an exaggeration: Most of Pakistan’s problems, especially its economic problems, are the creation of its own mismanagement, lack of planning, political uncertainty, and, above all, the deteriorating relations with neighboring countries that have had traditionally good relations with Pakistan. A case in point is the recent government of former Prime Minister Imran Khan, which came to power in 2018, allegedly with the backing of powerful security establishment. During his tenure, which came to an abrupt end in April 2022 through a no-confidence motion in the parliament, Pakistan’s relations with both Saudi Arabia and Turkey deteriorated. Traditionally close friends of Pakistan, these two countries have previously supported Pakistan in times of need. Meanwhile, China, an all-weather friend of Pakistan, remained dissatisfied with progress on CPEC projects, which slowed down under Khan’s rule. Thus as Pakistan’s economic crisis began to sink in, Islamabad’s friends were less disposed than usual to provide a bail out.
Perhaps most notably, Pakistan’s ties with the United States plummeted. Washington remained furious over Pakistan’s role in supporting the Taliban in Afghanistan, to the extent that U.S. President Joe Biden did not call Khan after becoming president. The downward slide did not stop there. Khan went one step further and visited Russia in February 2022, a move bound to anger the U.S. — it happened to be the very day Moscow began its invasion of Ukraine.
When he was ousted by a no-confidence vote in parliament, Khan further blamed the U.S. for his downfall. In the media and public gatherings, he claimed he was the target of a U.S. conspiracy to remove him from office. Khan’s strategy was to whip up anti-U.S. sentiments in Pakistan in order to gain votes and to woo his political opponents – and it worked. In the recent by-elections in Punjab, the most populous province in the country, his party clinched a majority of seats, thanks to his fiery speeches and the upsurge of inflation that began during his own rule.
Above all, Pakistan’s powerful security establishment has extended its role and influence in all sectors, including politics. It is common knowledge in Pakistan that governments come and go with the military’s approval. But the heavy hand of the security establishment has created a stalemate in the country, preventing it from proceeding on the path of development. Most of Pakistan’s problems, including its economic and political uncertainty, emanate from this issue. For example, Pakistan’s security-centered approach to nearby terrorist groups pushed the country onto the grey list of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), with economic consequences. Successive governments have struggled to remove Islamabad from the grey list (and stay off it).
On the other hand, the new government in Islamabad, led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, is faced with myriad problems, starting with an economic crisis. In the wake of prevailing economic issues in Pakistan, the Sharif government is negotiating with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), to receive $2 billion in relief funds. Yet, if the prevailing political uncertainty further increases, it will be quite hard to get this package from the IMF. For the purpose of attaining a loan package, Pakistan has reportedly taken several steps to reduce its expenditures, increase energy prices, and improve tax collection, as demanded by the IMF. But these moves are unpopular with the public and could lead to yet another change in government this fall, when elections are due. Moreover, Pakistan has a long history of running to the IMF when economic challenges become dire. Its repeated requests are proof that this is not a long-term solution to Pakistan’s economic woes. As the economic crisis continues to unfold, the parallels to Sri Lanka are becoming alarming. Like Sri Lanka, Pakistan faces a growing shortage of foreign exchange reserves, limiting its ability to import basic necessities like food and fuel. And like Sri Lanka, too, that economic turmoil is mapped onto fertile grounds for political contestation. Should the economic situation bottom out, Pakistan could also spiral into mass protests and a leadership vacuum.
Noted Pakistani columnist Zahid Hussain is one of the voices warning that Pakistan must take action now to avoid Sri Lanka’s fate. “What led to Sri Lanka’s economic collapse is obvious. Crippled by the shortage of foreign exchange, the country has not been able to pay for imports of even essential commodities such as fuel. In fact, the crisis had been building up for many years as the country piled up foreign debts to the tune of $51bn,” he wrote for Dawn, a Pakistani daily.
“…There are many developing countries, including Pakistan, which confront a similar predicament. We may not be in Sri Lanka’s shoes yet, but are not very far off as there are some comparable symptoms.”
Unfortunately, grounded realties tell us that Pakistan is, gradually and slowly, slipping into dire economic and political uncertainty. If the policymakers of Pakistan continue to ignore the warning signs, as they have always done in the past, things may lead to a similar crisis as that unfolding in Sri Lanka. It is high time Pakistan swallowed the bitter pill of hard economic reforms before it is too late.

Friday, July 22, 2022

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Lack of technology prevents Pakistan from producing own Covid vaccine

Despite rising cases of Covid in Pakistan, the South Asian country may not be able to produce its own Covid vaccines due to a lack of technical capacity and unavailability of biotechnology plant to manufacture the latest type of vaccines.
The waiver by World Trade Organization has paved the way for Pakistan to produce jabs using mRNA technology, however, Pakistan does not have a biotechnology plant to manufacture the latest type of vaccines, University of Health Sciences (UHS) Vice Chancellor Dr Javed Akram said, Dawn reported.
Dr Akram, who is also a member of the Scientific Task Force on Covid-19, further said that currently Pfizer and Moderna jabs were the only mRNA vaccines used in Pakistan as he expressed concerns about Pakistan’s ability to take advantage of the waiver, saying that Islamabad does not have a single biotech plant used to produce such vaccines.
“I had contacted Pakistan Pharmaceutical Manufacturers Association (PPMA) and they made a consortium to build a biotechnology plant. Even funds were raised by the association, but the government could not give [us] assurance for favourable policies, including tax holiday,” he said, adding that then CJP Nisar had summoned him to brief the court on the issue, reported Dawn.
The issue is still pending in court, he added.
Dr Akram also suggested that Pakistan should capitalise on the opportunity by involving the private sector as it was not the job of the government to establish a biotechnology plant investing billions of rupees.”Health Services Academy Vice Chancellor Dr Shahzad Ali Khan, while talking to Dawn, said: “It is the most advanced technology in which artificially genetic material is produced and injected into the human body to reduce chances of infection.He added, “The mRNA vaccines are beneficial for a large number of diseases and I am hopeful that in future HIV (human immunodeficiency virus) will also be controlled through these jabs.”
Notably, fifteen companies from 15 countries are currently learning how to make mRNA vaccines against Covid-19 at Afrigen Biologics, a South African firm. These countries include Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia, Argentina, Brazil, Senegal, Nigeria, Tunisia, South Africa, Serbia, Egypt, Kenya, and Ukraine.
https://theprint.in/world/lack-of-technology-prevents-pakistan-from-producing-own-covid-vaccine/1051430/

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Thursday, July 21, 2022

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Crisis and instability threaten Pakistan’s economy yet again

APARNA PANDE
Pakistan’s backing of anti-Indian, anti-Western extremism has cost it dearly as its new prime minister confronts economic misery, rising discontent and challenges from his predecessor.

Pakistan has so far managed to stave off riots and repay creditors, avoiding an economic meltdown like that seen in Sri Lanka. Still, Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif’s coalition government, which took over in April 2022, is grappling with multiple political and economic crises. Pakistan’s rupee is one of the world’s worst-performing currencies, the country’s foreign exchange reserves are abysmally low, and it has been unable to attract much-needed foreign investment.

Domestic political instability and increased vulnerability to terrorism following the Taliban takeover in neighboring Afghanistan add to the country’s problems. Four years of erratic rule by former cricketer Imran Khan has deeply polarized Pakistani society. Ex-Prime Minister Khan’s claims that his ouster through a parliamentary vote of no confidence was orchestrated by the United States, with help from the army leadership, have had an unsettling effect.

Pakistan’s political class is fragmented. Its society has been radicalized further. The economy is weaker than it was four years ago, and the country is more isolated internationally.  The all-powerful military establishment has been bruised by coming under criticism, first for helping Mr. Khan into office, and now for helping push him out.

Mr. Khan came to power in 2018 through the open backing of the security establishment, but his government was hobbled by poor coalition management and ineffective governance. As Pakistan’s economic crisis grew, and tensions between Prime Minister Khan and the military establishment deepened, a coalition of opposition parties used the opportunity to push a no-confidence motion against him.

Instead of facing the no-confidence motion in parliament and accepting defeat gracefully, Mr. Khan sought to hold on to power through extra-constitutional means. In the end, the Supreme Court of Pakistan intervened, supported behind closed doors by the army top brass, to ensure that the no-confidence vote took place, and a new government was sworn in.

If Pakistan’s economic crisis continues, the public may forget that it was Prime Minister Khan who is responsible for the mess

Mr. Sharif, the current prime minister, is a former chief minister of Punjab state, and the younger brother of Nawaz Sharif, a three-time prime minister. Shahbaz Sharif is a good administrator but lacks the national-level political experience critical to managing a disparate coalition. Mr. Khan, in the meantime, is applying pressure on the government and the military establishment both through social media and street protests.

Pakistan badly needs to get back on track with an International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending program, both to get through its immediate balance of payments difficulties as well as for longer-term economic stability. The political environment makes tough economic decisions, like ending subsidies and raising taxes, difficult to implement.

Economic and political challenges

Pakistan’s current crisis is the culmination of decades of fraught policies. The desire to combat a perceived existential threat from India, the country from which Pakistan was carved out in 1947, resulted in decades of unsustainable military expenditure that depended on foreign, historically American, support.

That external backing ended in part because of changing geopolitics. Rival India, not Pakistan, is now America’s ally of choice. Pakistan’s policy in Afghanistan and its support for jihadi terrorist groups targeting India have also led to a loss of Western support. Unable, or unwilling, to raise revenue from taxes and economic expansion, Pakistan has repeatedly turned to either multilateral institutions or friendly countries – in the Arab Middle East and China – for budgetary support.

The new prime minister and his foreign minister, Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, have indicated their desire to reframe U.S.-Pakistan relations. However, to truly repair relations with Washington, Pakistan would have to completely revise its foreign and security policy, especially vis-a-vis India and China, which might not be possible in the short term.

Pakistan’s economy remains dependent on the export of cotton textiles, with little investment in diversification. The literacy rate stands at 52 percent, the lowest in South Asia, resulting in an unskilled labor force that migrates primarily to the Gulf and sends remittances back. Pakistan’s ratio of taxes to gross domestic product (GDP) is one of the lowest in the world and key segments of the economy, such as agriculture and some military-run corporations, are exempt from income tax. Instead of raising revenue through taxes, governments have preferred to keep giving subsidies to avoid political and social unrest.

A direct military coup is the least likely scenario but cannot be ruled out.

Mr. Khan’s poor management and the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic left Pakistan’s economy badly battered. He changed finance ministers four times in three and a half years and changed his mind on trade and investment policies frequently. In addition to a $6 billion loan from the IMF, over the last four years, Pakistan has borrowed $10 billion altogether from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and China.

To forestall balance of payments difficulties, Pakistan borrowed in 2019 from the IMF – its 22nd loan from the institution since 1958. Pakistan has a pattern of drawing the first one or two tranches from the IMF and then abandoning the program to avoid fulfilling stringent conditions for economic restructuring. Mr. Khan’s government also initially agreed to the IMF’s demands to lower fuel subsidies in February 2022 but reinstated them once its ouster became imminent.

Though it was a difficult decision politically, Mr. Sharif’s government has rolled back the fuel subsidies and the IMF is expected to release the next tranche of its loan soon. But there is still no quick fix for Pakistan’s economic predicament. Rising utility costs and food prices, and a potential hike in interest rates, will slow industrial activity. That would hurt employment and add to the likelihood of street protests that are already being incited by Mr. Khan and his followers.

This vicious cycle will be difficult to break, even more so at a time when the global economy is recovering from the dual blows of Covid-19 and Russia’s war on Ukraine. Further, Pakistan has refused to open trade with its largest neighbor, India, because it is anathema to Pakistan’s ubiquitous security establishment.

For decades, Pakistan’s military establishment has intervened, directly and indirectly, in Pakistani politics to choose winners and losers. They once chose Mr. Khan but have now discarded him. The former prime minister is using the army’s own playbook against them: blaming everything on a foreign conspiracy, using anti-Americanism and pan-Islamism to rally support on the streets, and labeling anyone who disagrees with him – including military leaders – as anti-national.

The army is finding it difficult to fight an ideology it crafted and the monsters that it created. There are enough people within the lower and middle ranks of the military, in the media, and within the middle class in Pakistani society who believe Mr. Khan’s narrative, as it echoes what is taught in the educational curriculum.

Scenarios

The three key actors right now are the coalition government, the military-intelligence establishment and ex-Prime Minister Khan. The current army chief, General Qamar Javed Bajwa, is reluctant to intervene in politics directly and is still bruised from supporting Mr. Khan for the last four years. Prime Minister Sharif is a good administrator, but his experience in provincial politics might not transfer effectively to national politics. The quicker he solves some of Pakistan’s economic challenges, the better it is for him, irrespective of when the next elections are held.

If Pakistan’s economic crisis continues, the public may forget that it was Prime Minister Khan who is responsible for the mess. Mr. Khan will try to generate chaos, believing that the more he pushes Pakistan to the brink, the more the army is likely to help bring him back to power as the savior.

A wild card in all these scenarios is the role of the Supreme Court of Pakistan, which could upend the situation by disallowing certain politicians from participating in elections or striking down policies. Historically the court has sided with the military-intelligence establishment. Recent years, however, have witnessed judicial activism that has underlying Islamist and populist elements.

The timing of the next elections is important. The next army chief is scheduled to be appointed by the prime minister in November. All major actors – the political parties, the army, and the judiciary – would like their favored person to be prime minister when that decision is made.

The most likely scenario is that things continue as they are right now with the coalition government managing to stay afloat with tacit backing from the military. Neither the coalition government nor the army have any incentive in rocking this rickety boat and both need the next tranche of the IMF loan to come through quickly. Mr. Khan’s momentum is dissipating and, as of now, he has backed off when threatened with imprisonment.

In this scenario, Prime Minister Sharif would extend the current army chief’s tenure by a year and hold general elections, in which his coalition would then win the army’s support. Alternatively, Mr. Sharif could appoint a new army chief as advised by the incumbent.

If the IMF delays the next tranche of its loan and even friendly Gulf states – like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia – are slow to offer support, there could be a real threat of Pakistan’s default on debts. In that second, less likely, scenario, the army might install an interim caretaker government to stabilize the economy. Such a caretaker government would comprise technocrats and retired politicians and judges and would have a limited mandate.

A direct military coup is the least likely scenario but cannot be ruled out. If the politicians continue to squabble, and an interim government fails to restore economic health, General Bajwa or his successor could take over, promising to clean up the political and economic mess. Deep divisions within the army make such a scenario possible but not very likely. If Mr. Khan and his reverential following threaten violence and the current prime minister asks the army to put down the violence, the possibility of direct army intervention would increase.

https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/pakistan-crisis-economy/

#Pakistan #ppp - Bakhtawar Bhutto slams Imran Khan for allegations against Asif Ali Zardari

Bakhtawar Bhutto-Zardari, the daughter of PPP Co-chairperson Asif Ali Zardari, hit back at PTI Chairperson Imran Khan for levelling allegations against the former president.
The former prime minister had alleged that Zardari was the “main architect” behind the alleged horse-trading in Lahore, adding that the former president has secured an “NRO for his corruption and purchases people with looted wealth”.
He had demanded that the PPP leader should be jailed.

Following the allegations, Bakhtawar, while taking to her Twitter account, warned Khan and stated: "Why don’t you take your obsession with proof to the court, otherwise you will be hearing from our lawyers for defamation and lies."

"Still not over the absolutely no phone call? Why don’t you take your obsession with proof to the court," she wrote, adding that she pities the PTI Chairman as he has never read the Constitution as nothing will save him from committing treason.

https://www.geo.tv/latest/428979-bakhtawar-bhutto-slams-imran-khan-for-allegations-against-asif-ali-zardari

Pakistan’s Council of Islamic Ideology - Ignorance from the 7th century is still in effect. - Theocracy in the 21st Century

By Khaled Ahmed
Pakistan’s Council of Islamic Ideology has a long history of seeking to impose more religion in all aspects of life.
Pakistan began describing itself as an ideological state after the word had been made respectable by the Soviet Union through its planned economy and rapid growth. Ideology means the state has an idea which it thinks is right, and will punish anyone who doesn’t believe in it. Section 123-A of the Pakistan Penal Code specifically criminalizes anyone who opposes the ideology of Pakistan, which the state has designated its religion, Islam.Pakistan’s ideology, like most other ideologies, was utopian; it made Pakistanis different from Indians. It also set Pakistan apart from states like Iran or the Soviet Union, with theocratic characteristics vulnerable to “theocratic” Taliban and parts of the population that live under their influence. At least one leader, Imran Khan, employs political rhetoric that links him to Pakistan’s “theocratic” dream.
Theocracy, or the rule of God, was a great experiment tried during the Middle Ages in the Christian West. As history shows, that experiment in governance failed. Although some theocracies continued to exist for hundreds of years, the idea never really worked for the simple reason that the will of God must always be interpreted by mortal, fallible human beings. Theocracy, in the last analysis, is no better than the men who govern in God’s name. As a matter of practice, such men are no better than other governors, and often they are worse. Unlike Christianity, Islam has never quite given up the theocratic ideal. Almost all Christian nations today erect strong constitutional hedges between religion and the state. God may continue to be understood as guiding the nation’s destiny, but his servants are not permitted to interfere in the affairs of the state. Some Islamic nations, although not all, have refused to erect such barriers to direct action by the servants of God and the interpreters of His will.
Theocracy in Iran
Iran, under the ayatollahs, is the leading example of theocracy. The shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi (1919-1980), was overthrown in 1979 in a revolution led from exile by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini (1900-1989). Khomeini returned to Iran in February 1979 and immediately took over control of the new government, which he appointed and continued to dominate until his death. He was succeeded by another ayatollah, but it appears likely that no Iranian successor will have as much power as Khomeini did.
An absolute despot who convinces his subjects that his word is the word of God may enjoy more power than any other kind of ruler. Numerous examples of people ruling with absolute power and authority over religious communities have been noted during the 20th century. Jim Jones (1931-1978) ordered more than 900 of his followers to commit suicide at Jonestown, Guyana, on Nov. 18, 1978. Most of them did so, passively and without protest. Jones himself died of a gunshot wound, perhaps not self-inflicted. Other communities have undergone similar experience.As a nation, Iran underwent a comparable suicidal experience in its war with Iraq (1980-1988). The number of casualties, many of them teenage boys, has been estimated at well over a million. These children gave their lives for God, the ayatollah said, and the people believed it to be true.
Democracy as enemy of Islam
Democracy is anathema to theocracy. It is not surprising, therefore, that the United States, the leading exemplar of democracy in the world, was considered an evil nation by Khomeini and the Iranian imams. A religious tyrant cannot afford to allow his followers to be tempted by democracy; he must claim that democracy is the invention of anti-God, or Satan. For Khomeini, the United States became the Great Satan. As long as his followers believe this to be so, there can be no dialogue between democracy and theocracy. And when dialogue begins, theocracy is inevitably dissolved. Theocracy cannot survive freedom, which, like democracy, is anathema to it.
The Ayatollah Khomeini was able to impose an absolute tyranny over his followers. Anyone who sought to interject the slightest amount of freedom into the operations of the state was killed in the name of God. Historically, it has usually proved impossible for a succession of theocrats to impose and enjoy such absolute power. In the present state of world, with the vast majority of living human beings either already possessing or manifestly desiring and demanding democratic freedoms, theocracy has very little chance of surviving for long except in the circumstances that occurred in Iran in 1979. At the present time, therefore, theocracy would seem not to be a serious long-term threat to democracy.
It should not be forgotten, however, that a theocracy lasted in ancient Egypt for 3,000 years. And theocratic overtones are often heard in the claims of despots of other persuasions. Communism, as an example, banned God not only from the government but also from society with men and women not being allowed to be religious or to worship God privately, to say nothing of permitting God’s servants and interpreters to play a role in the state. This might have created a kind of vacuum in the lives of many persons that could only be filled by the state itself and the overwhelming idea of the Revolution. The Revolution was, or became in some people’s minds, a kind of deity. Thus several Communist states, notably the Soviet Union, began to take on a theocratic hue even though they were explicitly nonreligious and indeed antireligious.
The example of Pakistan
In Pakistan’s capital Islamabad, the Council of Islamic Ideology (CII), an advisory body of clerics and scholars tasked with assisting the government in bringing laws in line with the holy Quran and the example of the Holy Prophet (Peace Be Upon Him), declared in 2004 that a man might not ask for permission from his first wife before marrying a second one. The “decision” at the CII grated on many nerves because the law in force at present is that marrying the second time without asking the first wife will entail one year in jail and Rs. 5,000 as fine. The law of “permission” raised belly-laughs anyway because if the first wife refuses permission she can be divorced by the husband by pronouncing “talaq” (divorce) three times, no questions asked. But the primitive anachronism of the Council’s “advice” provoked the Human Right Rights Commission of Pakistan (HRCP) into condemning it as another sign of tightening up the faith in anticipation of the Rule of Taliban. There is a common fallacy that Islam as enforced in Pakistan is misinterpreted and somehow there exists a true religion of Islam which should be revived. The truth of the matter is that under the prevailing principles of interpretation, what Pakistan has is the correct interpretation of Islam. The “rational” Islam of Sir Syed Ahmad was rejected in his lifetime by all schools of thought among Muslims, Deobandi and Barelvi alike. In Egypt the reformist spirit of Muhammad Abduh was challenged and set aside by the Islamists of the 21st century, including the ulema of Al-Azhar. There is an emphasis on fiqh under the principles of ijtehad (reinterpretation). Not many people know that Islamic law is based on fiqh and that ijtehad is allowed only on matters not decided by fiqh. Allama Iqbal once tried to write on ijtehad and corresponded with Maulana Salman Nadvi, asking him tough questions on points where fiqh actually supersedes the Quran, to which the maulana made no reply.
Women under the religious state
The verdict on riba by the Supreme Court Shariat Appellate Bench in 1999 shocked many, but it was according to the standard application of theocratic jurisprudence called fiqh. Right after that, the Federal Shariat Court also abolished the old Family Law Ordinance and allowed men to practice polygamy without the permission of their first wives. In an effort to make the verdict rational, the Court said it was good for Pakistan because there were more women here than men! After that the wife of Dr. Israr Ahmad, a famous Lahore cleric, said that she would not mind her husband taking another wife.
Lashkar-e-Taiba chief Hafiz Saeed never stopped saying that democracy was against Islam and that those who believed that Islam allowed Parliament were ullu (owls). Only the Army liked what he kept on saying, but he was right. The CII and the Ministry of Religious Affairs should not be blamed for issuing outrageous Islamic proposals (one advice being that all banknotes be withdrawn and the photo on them of the Quaid-e-Azam be erased) because they are following the rules of interpretation in Islam.
Extremism as misinterpretation
Most people think that extremism comes out of a misinterpretation of Islam. This is wrong. Extremism and violence occur when people do not accept what the Islamists regard as the irreducible crux of Islam in the shape of shariah. (What is shariah may differ from country to country). The mood among the clergy and the Islamists has been aggressive since the turn of the 20th century and violence is normally resorted to when a literalist version of fiqh-dominated Islam is not enforced. That is where extremism starts. As for the practicability of literalist Islam, many laws in force have either produced malpractice or have simply lain dormant, as in many cases of diyat (blood money) and qatt-e-yadd (cutting of hands).
In such cases the stand of the Islamists is that only they will enforce them correctly when they come to power through aggressively isolationist policies in the manner of the late Mullah Umar of Afghanistan. According to an old edition of daily Urdu newspaper Jang, the CII would hold a session to recommend that anyone blaspheming against Allah should be punished. It would also recommend that no woman be allowed to marry without the permission of her wali (male guardian). It was expected to ban kite-flying, organ transplant and smoking.
Pious destruction of Buddha statues
According to daily Khabrain, the ministry for religious affairs in Islamabad gave its verdict on the destruction of ancient statues in Afghanistan in 2001 by saying that the Taliban were right in doing so; the Foreign Office had earlier asked the ministry about the status of this destruction in sharia. Thus Pakistan now had to support the destruction of the ancient Buddha statues in Afghanistan, although it was not made clear what should be done to such statues in Pakistan. According to Khabrain, the CII had also become seized with the question of Christian jallad (hangman) executing Muslim convicts in Pakistan. Among issues taken to the CII by the religion ministry was the issue of girls marrying of their own choice.
According to daily Din, the religion ministry had given the task of preparing a draft ordinance for the enforcement of namaz in Pakistan. Its directive was that all businesses should be closed down five times a day during namaz and during Friday namaz, and no one should be allowed to break this law. The entire country would also have the same namaz and azan (call) timings.
No songs on television, please!
Not long ago, according to daily Jang, the federal ministry for religious affairs sent a recommendation to the ministry of information that all songs and dances shown on PTV should be banned. The ministry’s letter said the PTV was involved in emulating Indian TV channels and was showing women shaking their bodies. According to daily Khabrain, the CII also announced that girls getting married of their own choice should be punished under law. A verdict undoing such a marriage at the Lahore High Court was, however, set aside by the Supreme Court. The other enlightened opinion of the CII was that co-education should be banned, that all lotteries like prize bonds should be banned and the paper used for printing the Quran should not be recycled.
According to daily Din, incumbent chairman of the CII S.M. Zaman has criticized the Supreme Court for postponing the removal of bank interest for another year. He said it was not an economic issue but an issue related to the Quran and the Prophet (PBUH). According to daily Nawa-e-Waqt, the CII also rejected then-religion minister Mahmood Ghazi’s plan to use zakat to allow the poor to invest in businesses by saying that zakat could not be used for investment of any kind. The body has also ruled that insurance of all kinds was against Islam and should be abolished forthwith, with instalments paid into a policy given under mudaraba (leasing) to make it Islamic; Mudaraba businesses did not do well in Pakistan.
In another report from Jang, the CII came to the conclusion that soft drinks sold as non-alcoholic beer were not jaez (allowed) in Islam, adding that any drink that is not sharab (alcohol) could not be called sharab or that the name beer should not be put on it. It also said preparation and trade of non-alcoholic beer inside or outside Pakistan was haram (prohibited). Another newspaper reported that despite the passage of 23 years since the CII made its first proposal about it, the government had not changed the flag; the recommendation had called for the kalima tayyaba (short prayer in Arabic) to be inscribed on the national flag along with Allah-u-Akbar.
Get women to stay at home
Quoted in another newspaper, the CII said that women should be disallowed from appearing in ads and only men should be used to promote products through photographs. It said that women were allowed to work as air-hostesses but only if they wore burqa or hijab, adding that no darzi (tailor) should be allowed to sew clothes for women and only women darzi should be used for women. According to the daily, the CII also recommended that ACRs of all state employees should contain sections indicating religious observance and those not saying namaz should not be promoted.
At one point, per Jang, the CII also declared that it was wrong to label jihad as solely a defensive war. The truth, according to the CII, was that jihad could be offensive as well. According to Nawa-e-Waqt, the CII stated that Western propaganda against jihad had pushed it into the background, but everyone should be grateful to Afghanistan for having revived it. It said the greatest act of piety was participation in jihad; and one cause of the decline of the Muslims was their abandonment of it.
The final verdict
Daily Jang magazine once quoted Lashkar-e-Taiba chief Hafiz Saeed—today in confinement under a FATF “grey-list” fiat—as saying that when an Islamic government is imposed on Pakistan, currency would be abolished and gold and silver coins would be the sole legal tender. He said the Constitution, too, would be abolished as there was no need of a Constitution in the presence of the Quran. Similarly, Khabrain reported, the CII declared that sending anyone to prison was against Sharia and recommended that prison sentences be abolished. Early Islam had no jails, no police, and no banks, it said, and thieves used to have their hands cut.
https://www.newsweekpakistan.com/theocracy-in-the-21st-century/

Sunday, July 17, 2022

Pashto Music Video - Rook Dey Rana Zara Janana | Moreeda Dey Yam Peera Peera

Video Report - د پوهنتون د پخوانۍ استادې نرګس مومند حسنزۍ مرکه

Video Report - افغانستان کې د چنګاښ د ۲۶مې کودتا؛ شاهي نظام څه ډول وپرځېد

Video Report - World Economic Forum report on gender gap exposes how poor Pakistan's women have been treated by the state and society.

Video Report - Any difference btw politics of #imrankhan & journalism of #hamidmir -عمران خان اورحامد میر ایک جیسے؟

International Relations – What’s in it for the Common Man?

By Sadaf Rasheed
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari has made headlines in the international press after becoming Pakistan’s youngest Foreign Minister. His frequent visits to multiple countries during this short period of time have won him applause from the experts but the opposition and its mouthpieces in media has criticized him for what they call “too many foreign trips”. Can there be too many foreign trips by a country’s Foreign Minister whose job is to build, rebuild and enhance relations with other countries?
If someone analyzes the history of PPP governments, it becomes evident that Mr Zardari is not doing something new. PPP governments in the past initiated a robust and enhanced process of global engagement based on the principles of equality, respect and mutuality of interest and benefit.
Shaheed Mohtarma BB, during her visit to Cairo in 1994 said,“I dream of a Pakistan, of an Asia, of a world, where we can commit our social resources to the development of human life, and not to its destruction.”
PPP’s 2018 Manifesto states,“Pakistan must step forward and rationally create the framework for a proactive foreign policy that is designed to maximise our benefits while maintaining the best possible relations with all other countries.”
“We envision a Pakistan that is regionally, geographically and globally connected.”
Mr Bilawal Bhutto Zardari is continuing the PPP’s policy of maintaining good relations with other countries around the globe.
Now a question arises here why a political party that takes pride in being pro-poor takes so much interest in international relations. Chairman PPP Mr Bilawal Bhutto Zardari answered this question while speaking at an event to announce the party’s manifesto for the 2018 general elections. He said,“Foreign policy should be rooted in economic diplomacy” Like people, countries cannot prosper while working in silos. International co-operation is essential for the prosperity of a country, region and entire world. The economic and social development of a nation is directly proportional to the degree of its foreign relations. International trade, export & import strengthen the economy which in turn helps in poverty alleviation. Apart from economic implications, the effect of having good international relations can be seen in the social sector. When any country falls into natural calamities like floods, earthquakes, and diseases, other countries play their role to help lessen the effect of devastation. The control of polio and COVID-19 virus shows that through global cooperation countries can overcome any problem. Training of human resources, introduction of the latest technologies in agriculture, industries, and medical science, all require having strong relations with other nations.
So what has PPP achieved for a common man through its foreign policy? Be it the period of Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, Shaheed Benazir Bhutto or Mr Asif Ali Zardari, PPP governments have actively pursued foreign relations with other countries which resulted in strengthening of the economy, creation of jobs, development of infrastructure, educational and health institutions, thereby uplifting Pakistan’s common man.
Zulfikar Ali Bhutto initiated foreign relations with the then Soviet Union when he was the Foreign Minister of Pakistan. It was the fruits of his efforts that in 1961, the Soviet Union gave a loan of 27 million Rubles to Pakistan for oil and gas exploration, which later enabled the establishment of an oil and gas development organization in Pakistan. So, the contribution of OGDCL to the development of Pakistan can be attributed to ZAB’s foreign policy.

Zulfikar Ali Bhutto took reins of a country in anarchic conditions, this undeveloped and war-shattered Pakistan was facing an international economic crisis. As soon as ZAB took the oath, he started visiting different countries to strengthen Pakistan’s ties with the international world. His foreign policy paid dividends and the world came to rescue Pakistan from difficult conditions by investing in different sectors. The economic cooperation from China, the Soviet Union, Iran, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E. and Libya are worth mentioning which resulted in the establishment of fertilizer plants, an oil refinery, Port Qasim, the Heavy Mechanical Complex, the Heavy Foundry and Forge near Taxila, self-sufficiency in wheat production, roads infrastructure, hospitals, educational institutes, nuclear reprocessing plant and the steel mill. All these projects led to the creation of hundreds of thousands of job opportunities and the reduction of poverty in Pakistan.
Moreover, the government of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto persuaded the Gulf countries to encourage both skilled and unskilled men from Pakistan to work there. In 1979, it was estimated that the Pakistani workforce in the Middle East lay somewhere around one million. Remittances sent by the migrants not only helped in building the country’s foreign exchange reserves and in providing a balance of payment support, which thus contributed to greater economic development but also provided necessary income support to their families. Similarly, when Shaheed BB came to power, she visited Iran, Turkey, China, US, UK, Switzerland, Korea, France, and Germany, among other countries, to convince business leaders of the viability of investing in Pakistan and to stress the potential for lucrative returns that such investment offers. SMBB succeeded in bringing Pakistan into the modern era. She brought fiber optic technology, cellular phones, and Internet technology to Pakistan. By early 1994, Telecom Australia started working on a $40 million contract to lay fiber optic cable from Karachi to Islamabad. During the same time, other foreign telecommunications companies, including Alcatel, Siemens, Ericsson, and Cable and Wireless had also begun installing digital communications networks in the Sindh, Punjab, and KP provinces. By mid-1994, 5430 telex lines had been installed, and a cellular mobile telephone system had been introduced.
Today, Pakistan has an IT industry with more than 12000 IT Companies and exports crossing the $2 billion figure. It contributes around 7 per cent of Pakistan’s GDP and employs hundreds of thousands of professionals. The growth of the IT industry is only possible because the PPP government was able to sell the idea of investing in Pakistan to foreign investors.
In addition to technology, the PPP government led by SMBB succeeded in attracting investment worth billions of dollars into Pakistan’s energy and power generation sector. In 1996, Benazir Bhutto laid the foundation stone of the Thar Coal power project. It has now become a success story of public-private partnership. Considering the load shedding, people are facing nowadays, there is no need of explaining the importance of power generation to common people, leave alone industries. Apart from power generation from this project, coal mining is playing a significant role in economic growth and poverty alleviation by providing thousands of jobs to the locals. In the infrastructure sector, Benazir Bhutto’s government signed a memorandum of understanding with the South Korean conglomerate Daewoo in which the latter pledged to implement $2 billion worth of projects, including the construction of a $730 million, 315km motorway between Lahore and Islamabad, Pakistan’s first motorway. After taking oath as President of Pakistan, Mr Asif Ali Zardari conducted his first-ever diplomatic visit as president of the country to China to follow up on the strong relations developed with the friendly country by Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and Benazir Bhutto. He followed it up with many more visits to present his idea of multi-billion dollars China Pakistan Economic Corridor. This project is termed a “Game changer” for Pakistan. It is estimated that this project will create 800,000 direct jobs in the next 10 to 15 years. This project is expected to add more than $60 million to Pakistan’s economy and thousands of megawatts of energy to the national grid. The impact of CPEC is expected to be so huge that research papers have been written on the topic.
President Zardari also visited European countries and introduced his idea of “Trade, not aid”. He lobbied at the highest level with countries of the EU. His continuous efforts in this regards resulted in GSP Plus status given to Pakistan in 2014. Not only did the Pakistan economy gain in terms of export revenue, but the efficiency gained was also immense as the relevant industries gained economies of scale and started becoming globally competitive. The labour employed in the relevant sectors was also employed gainfully as exports rise. Also worth mentioning is that the total EU development assistance for Pakistan for 2009-2013 amounts to over € 2.4 billion, funding activities focused on rural development/natural resources management and on education/human resources management.
Pakistan faced one of the most devastating floods in 2010. Flooding across Pakistan resulted in almost 2000 fatalities and an estimated $40 plus billion dollars worth of damage. International friends came to help the people of Pakistan in those difficult times. In the aftermath of the floods, the Russian Federation decreased the custom duty up to 35% on Pakistani goods as a goodwill gesture. The European Commission helped with €150 million in humanitarian assistance. The U.S. donated $55 million. All of this assistance was provided for the relief of the common man of Pakistan.
Following the footsteps of his leaders, Chairman PPP, Bilawal Bhutto Zardari has already visited US, Switzerland, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran in a short span of time after taking oath as the Foreign Minister of Pakistan to rebuild ties with the international community. While in his early days, he has already resolved the issues of Pakistani students enrolled in Chinese Medical universities whose future was at stake. It is hoped that like his predecessor, Chairman PPP Bilawal Bhutto Zardari will be able to strengthen and broaden Pakistan’s relations with the world and translate these relations into the socio-economic development of common people of Pakistan.
https://en.humsub.com.pk/4261/international-relations-whats-in-it-for-the-common-man-2/