Wednesday, March 14, 2018
Conor Lamb Wins Pennsylvania House Seat, Giving Democrats a Map for Trump Country
By ALEXANDER BURNS and JONATHAN MARTIN
Conor Lamb, a Democrat and former Marine, scored a razor-thin but extraordinary upset in a special House election in southwestern Pennsylvania after a few thousand absentee ballots delivered Democrats a win in the heart of President Trump’s Rust Belt base.
The victory still may be contested, but Mr. Lamb’s 627-vote lead Wednesday afternoon appeared insurmountable, given that the four counties in Pennsylvania’s 18th district have about 500 provisional, military and other absentee ballots left to count, county election officials said. That slim margin, out of almost 230,000 ballots cast, nonetheless upended the political landscape ahead of November’s midterm elections and emboldened fellow Democrats to run maverick campaigns even in deep-red areas where Republicans remain bedeviled by Mr. Trump’s unpopularity.
Republican officials in Washington said they were likely to demand a recount through litigation, and the National Republican Congressional Committee put out a call for voters to report any irregularities in the balloting. Matt Gorman, a spokesman for the committee, said the party was “not conceding anything.”
But absent significant adjustments in the tally, Mr. Lamb, a 33-year-old former prosecutor from a local Democratic dynasty, pulled off a staggering upset over Rick Saccone, a Republican state legislator, in a district that Mr. Trump carried by nearly 20 percentage points in 2016.
The hairbreadth outcome in the race belied its sweeping consequences. The battle for a district in suburban and rural areas around Pittsburgh underscored the degree to which his appeal has receded across the country. And it exposed the ways in which both parties are weighed down by divisive leaders: Democrats by Nancy Pelosi, the House minority leader; Republicans by Mr. Trump and Paul D. Ryan, the speaker of the House.
Just as vividly, the race showed that only one party appears willing to grapple with the implications of campaigning under a radioactive figurehead.
In Pennsylvania, Mr. Lamb presented himself as independent-minded and neighborly, vowing early he would not support Ms. Pelosi to lead House Democrats and playing down his connections to his national party. He echoed traditional Democratic themes about union rights and economic fairness, but took a more conservative position on the hot-button issue of guns.
Throughout the race, Mr. Lamb said he welcomed support from people who voted for Mr. Trump, and he saved his most blunt criticism for Mr. Ryan, highlighting the speaker’s ambitions to overhaul Social Security and Medicare. Mr. Lamb’s approach could become a template for a cluster of more moderate Democrats contesting conservative-leaning seats, in states like Arkansas, Kansas and Utah. Democrats in Washington have focused chiefly on Republican-held seats in the upscale suburbs where Mr. Trump is most intensely disliked.
But they are hungry for gains across the political map, and in red areas they have encouraged candidates to put local imperatives above fealty to the national party, even tolerating outright disavowals of Ms. Pelosi.
Representative Cheri Bustos of Illinois, a Democrat who represents a farm and manufacturing district Mr. Trump narrowly carried, said the party’s recruits should feel free to oppose Ms. Pelosi if they choose. She noted that she was helping one such anti-Pelosi candidate, Paul Davis of Kansas, who was in Washington this week raising money.
“If they want somebody else to be a leader, then they ought to express that,” Ms. Bustos said. “I don’t have a problem with that.”
Representative Mike Doyle of Pennsylvania, a veteran Democrat from a neighboring district, said Mr. Lamb had benefited from “buyer’s remorse” among Trump supporters and had wisely tailored his message to the conservative-leaning area.
“This guy has made a lot of promises that aren’t being kept,” Mr. Doyle said of the president.
On the Republican side, Mr. Saccone, 60, campaigned chiefly as a stand-in for Mr. Trump, endorsing the president’s agenda from top to bottom. He campaigned extensively with Mr. Trump and members of his administration and relied heavily on campaign spending from outside Republican groups that attempted to make Ms. Pelosi a central voting issue. Conservative outside groups also sought to promote the tax cuts recently enacted by the party, but found that message had little effect.
Yet the Republicans’ all-hands rescue mission was not enough to salvage Mr. Saccone’s candidacy. Mr. Saccone has not conceded and Republicans have indicated they may challenge the results through litigation, a long-shot strategy.
In a meeting with House Republicans on Wednesday morning, Representative Steve Stivers of Ohio, who leads the party’s campaign committee, described the race as “too close to call,” according to a person who heard his presentation. But Mr. Ryan and Mr. Stivers also called the election a “wake-up call” for Republican lawmakers, telling them that they could not afford to fall behind on fund-raising, as Mr. Saccone did. Mr. Lamb raised $3.9 million and spent $3 million, compared with Mr. Saccone’s $900,000 raised and $600,000 spent as of Feb. 21. But Republican outside groups swamped the district. Between conservative “super PACs” and the National Republican Congressional Committee, Mr. Saccone had more than $14 million spent on his behalf.
Mr. Lamb got just over $2 million.
As Republican lawmakers spilled out of their morning conference meeting, few seemed willing to come to grips with how much Mr. Trump is energizing Democrats and turning off independent voters. Some of them even argued that Mr. Saccone only made the race close thanks to the president’s rally in the district on Saturday.
“The president came in and helped close this race and got it to where it is right now,” said Mr. Ryan.
Others in the conference, however, talked more openly about the political difficulties of breaking with Mr. Trump. “There is no benefit from running away from the president,” said Representative Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, a member of his party’s leadership, noting that Republican candidates need core conservative voters to show up and this constituency still backs the president. “It doesn’t get them the same thing as Lamb opposing Pelosi,” said Mr. McHenry.
Even Mr. Stivers, who is tasked with re-electing a contingent of lawmakers from districts that backed Hillary Clinton, declined to say Republicans should feel free to break from Mr. Trump.
“I am not going to tell anybody to be against the president,” he said. But Mr. Lamb’s margin and the turnout levels in the district’s suburban precincts proved crucial, and a handful of Republican House veterans conceded this broader vulnerability. “We know that’s probably where the president’s appeal is the weakest,” said Representative Tom Cole of Oklahoma, a longtime party strategist, adding: “It’s a pattern we’ve seen throughout.” But he argued that Mr. Trump’s unpopularity in high-income areas would not as adversely impact incumbents who have their own identity and are steeled for difficult races. Yet even as most of the Republicans pinned the blame on Mr. Saccone’s fund-raising weakness or held up Mr. Lamb’s willingness to oppose Ms. Pelosi, refusing to fault Mr. Trump, one retiring lawmaker was more blunt. “Denial isn’t just a river in Egypt,” said Representative Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania, a frequent critic of the president. “I’ve been through wave elections before.”
Democrats were buoyant at Mr. Lamb’s victory, viewing his upset as both a harbinger of a November wave and perhaps a sign that the party had overcome some of the most stinging Republican attack lines of the Obama years. Polling in both parties found Ms. Pelosi widely disliked among voters in the district, but the Republican ads featuring her failed to disqualify Mr. Lamb. Pittsburgh Mayor Bill Peduto, a Democrat, said Mr. Lamb’s campaign showed that the Republicans’ anti-Pelosi playbook had real limitations. The race, he said, should embolden Democrats to contest difficult districts in the Midwest with an economic message that appeals to elements of Mr. Trump’s base.
“Conor Lamb was talking about redevelopment and economic growth, and the Republicans were talking about Nancy Pelosi,” Mr. Peduto said. “It’s like they couldn’t help themselves.” Mr. Peduto urged the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the electioneering vehicle for House Democrats, to expand its target list in the Trump-aligned Midwest. “Look through the Rust Belt, in areas that used to be blue,” Mr. Peduto said. “If you’re in a congressional district that’s 8, 10 or 12 points carried by Trump, I would hope that the D.C.C.C. is now putting that in the target.”
To the extent that Democrats attempt further incursions into Trump country, it may test their party’s willingness to tolerate Lamb-like deviation on matters like gun control, and perhaps more widespread rejection of Ms. Pelosi.
Democrats in Washington have already faced criticism from liberal activists for intervening in primary elections, in states like Texas and California, to promote candidates that they view as more electable. Putting forward a slate of moderates in Republican areas could prove more controversial than boosting just one in a special election. Up to this point, however, Democratic leaders and their campaign tacticians have taken a just-win approach, encouraging candidates to attack Mr. Ryan but taking a far more permissive view of party loyalty than their Republican counterparts.
Clarke Tucker, a Democratic state legislator in Arkansas who is challenging Representative French Hill, a Republican, said on Wednesday that he took Mr. Lamb’s victory as a validation of a throw-the-bums-out message he planned to deliver in his own race. Campaigning in a seat that comprises Little Rock and its suburbs, Mr. Tucker said he seldom spoke about Mr. Trump and announced up front that he would not back Ms. Pelosi.
Mr. Tucker, who was aggressively recruited by the D.C.C.C., said he had told Democrats in Washington that he was “very frustrated with the leadership of the House in both parties” and no one attempted to dissuade him from delivering that message. “That district is a lot like the one I’m running in,” Mr. Tucker said of Mr. Lamb’s seat. “I think voters are interested in changing the leadership in Washington.”
#Pakistan - Bilawal rejects conspiracy theories about fate of 18th amendment
Pakistan People's Party (PPP) chairman Bilawal Bhutto Zardari on Tuesday said his party will not compromise on the integrity of country's constitution.
Rejecting what he said conspiracy theories about the fate of the 18th amendment, the PPP chairman said in a tweet that the fundamentals of the 18th amendment and 1973 constitution are non negotiable.
"Come hell or high water we will not compromise on our constitution’s integrity," said he.
There seems to be a lot of conspiracy theories about the fate of the 18th amendment. Let me make #PPP position clear; the fundamentals of the 18th amendment & 1973 constitution are non negotiable. Come hell or high water we will not compromise on our constitution’s integrity.
The 18th amendment was passed during the PPP tenure by the National Assembly in 2010, removing the power of the President of Pakistan to dissolve the Parliament unilaterally .
#PashtunTahafuzMovement - Cases filed against #Pakistani activist for 'criticizing military'
An FIR has been registered against Manzoor Pashteen, who organised rallies highlighting profiling of Pashtuns.
Pakistani police have registered cases against a young ethnic Pashtun rights activist for criticising the country's powerful military during the latest in a series of rallies his organisation has held across the South Asian country.
Police registered cases in the western districts of Zhob and Qila Saifullah on Tuesday, accusing Manzoor Pashteen of "wantonly giving provocation with intent to cause [a] riot".
If convicted Pashteen, 26, faces a maximum of five years in prison.
Pashteen is one of a group of young men leading the Pashtun Tahaffuz Movement (PTM), which has organised rallies in solidarity with a Pashtun youth who was killed by the police.
The rights group gained prominence while leading a sit-in demanding justice for the extrajudicial killing of Naqeebullah Mehsud in the southern port city of Karachi in January.
Mehsud had been accused by police of being a Pakistan Taliban fighter, but an inquiry after his killing in a police 'encounter' found him innocent of any links to the group.
Rao Anwar, the senior police official held responsible for the youth's killing, went into hiding shortly after the inquiry, and remains wanted in the case.
"The registering of this case is extremely saddening, and we cannot condemn it strongly enough," said Alam Zeb Mehsud, a PTM leader.
"We have stood up for our rights. We have only spoken of what has happened to us - we have not lied, and we have never said anything unconstitutional."
Pashteen and Mehsud are among a number of young activists from the northwestern district of South Waziristan who have led a movement calling for the rights of ethnic Pashtuns to be respected.
They hold the state and military responsible for what they call the ethnic profiling of Pashtuns as "terrorists", and widespread rights violations in South Waziristan and elsewhere, including the collective punishment of civilians for attacks on security forces.
The Pakistani military denies any wrongdoing. In a statement to Al Jazeera issued in January, responding to the PTM's allegations, the military said while it investigated the possibility of locals facilitating attacks, it did so "strictly as per [tribal] traditions".
PTM leaders say they have been receiving threats from unidentified callers for years, since they first started organising their grassroots movement to protest alleged rights violations by the military.
"As time passed, we lost our fear. Now we are at a stage where if we get a call from the intelligence agencies, we don't care anymore. Because we have gotten used to it. They bother us on an almost daily basis," said Muhammad Idrees, 25, a founding member of the group.
Taking on the military
Direct criticism of the military, which has ruled the country for roughly half of its 70 years since independence, is rare in Pakistan.
Since May last year, the government has led a campaign targeting dissent against the military expressed on social media and on other online platforms.
"The PTM is not an engineered movement, it has been created by the situation," said Mehsud. "It has been created by a context of killings ... we have been the victims of terrorism, and then we are accused of being terrorists to boot. We have been facing this injustice for years."
PTM rallies held across the country since the Islamabad sit-in have attracted thousands of participants, although they have seen scant coverage in the country’s press.
At a recent rally, a local religious leader attempted to direct the young participants' anger towards the United States, signaling that armed groups such as the Pakistan Taliban were a US creation.
He was met by strident criticism, and forced to step off the stage, after the crowd loudly chanted an oft heard Pakistani leftist Urdu slogan: "This terrorism, it is backed by the military!"
PTM leader Mehsud denies his group is demanding "any kind of rebellion or anything against the State".
"We just want the protection of our life, our property and our honour.
"These three things, nothing else."
#Pakistan - At least nine, including five policemen martyred in Raiwind blast
At least five police personnel and four citizens were martyred Wednesday evening in a suspected suicide attack in the Raiwind area on the outskirts of Lahore, officials said.
Rescue 1122 and hospital officials confirmed the toll, saying the explosion injured at least 25 others, including 13 police personnel, who were being treated at different hospitals.
Senior police official, Deputy Inspector General Operations Dr. Haider Ashraf, said police personnel appeared to be the target of the attack as the explosion took place close to a police check-post and near the vehicle of a deputy superintendent.
DIG Ashraf said the bomb exploded when police were changing guards at the checkpoint.
It appears to be a suicide attack, he said, adding that body parts had been recovered from the site of the blast. Police officials added that a motorcycle near the blast site had also been completely destroyed.
Thousands of people from Punjab province and across the country participate gather in Raiwind every year to take part in the Raiwind Ijtema (congregation), one of the largest gatherings of religious devotees in Pakistan. The attack targeted the police vehicle close to the venue of the annual religious congregation.
This was the first explosion targeting the provincial capital since the start of 2018. Lahore underwent a series of terrorist attacks last year in which more than 60 people were killed.
Our struggle will continue for the women’s rights in #Pakistan: sherry Rehman
Our struggle will continue for the women’s rights in Pakistan. It was stated by Senator Sherry Rehman during a rally in connection with Karwan-e-Benazir here on Thursday.
http://www.thesindhtimes.com/blog/2018/03/08/struggle-will-continue-womens-rights-pakistan-sherry-rehman/